Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 3

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	Gol Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.95
	2.45	3.2	2.82
	2.64	3.25	2.89
	2.51	3.22	2.96	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.8
	2.61	3.34	2.71	Watch
	2.44	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.11)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)	2.82 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
37.5%

Draw
29.1%

Widzew Łódź
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

25.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 11. Imaz J. (C) 85. Kozlowski E. 19. Klynge A. 10. Agbonifo J. 17. Sylla Y. 7. Szmyt K.	1. Dragowski B. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 25. Wisniewski P. 3. Kapuadi S. 40. Garcia M. 10. Alvarez F. 6. Shehu J. (C) 8. Kornvig E. 7. Fornalczyk M. 28. Swiderski K. 99. Bergier S.
Substitutes
27. Conceicao R. 8. Drachal D. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 61. Krasiewicz B. 90. Kuczynski M. 21. Lozano S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 2. Polak C. 99. Prelec N. 9. Rallis D. 6. Romanczuk T. 80. Zalewski Z.	57. Akere S. 77. Baena Perez A. 70. Gazibegovic J. 30. Ilic V. (G) 20. Klukowski A. 33. Krzywanski J. (G) 18. Selahi L. 14. Visus R. 4. Zyro M.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Vukovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
24', Kornvig E. 🟨,
36', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
45', Agbonifo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Agbonifo J. ↓, Conceicao R. ↑,
46', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
54', 0 - 2, Alvarez F. ⚽,
58', Sylla Y. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
62', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
67', Kozlowski E. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
67', Krajewski M. ↓, Gazibegovic J. ↑,
78', Bergier S. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
78', Wisniewski P. ↓, Zyro M. ↑,
78', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
79', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
90+2', Prelec N. 🟨,
90+3', Garcia M. ↓, Visus R. ↑,
90+8', Montoia G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 4.

Jagiellonia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Widzew is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Widzew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Widzew has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Jackson A. (Inactive) Stojinovic D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Widzew: Czyz S. (Knee Injury) Isaac C. (Knee Injury) Lerager L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Jagiellonia: 3.94% Widzew Lodz: 3.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12
13	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	13:13	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Widzew Łódź - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.26	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Nordsjælland - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.26	Wisła Płock - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 AET ✺
13.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	4:3 ✺
12.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Brinje-Grosuplje	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWW?

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
31.01.26	Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3
27.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	3:2
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	7:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.25	Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1
01.09.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	1:0
11.02.24	Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3
04.08.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	2:1

Upcoming Matches