Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion KS Wieczysta (Kraków)


	Wieczysta II		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.55
	2.35	3.4	2.45
	2.49	3.31	2.45
	2.35	3.56	2.59	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.38	3.4	2.46	Watch
	1.88	3.51	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.88)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)	2.62 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta II
39.3%

Draw
26.4%

Star Starachowice
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

23.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wieczysta II's form might have worsened.

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Star Starachowice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta II than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wieczysta II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Star Starachowice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wieczysta II - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 16th in the Relegation).

Wieczysta II is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Star Starachowice have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Wieczysta II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wieczysta II holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13:17	-4	11
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	11	3	2	6	10:14	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków II
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.09.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wieczysta II	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wieczysta II - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Wieczysta II	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Wieczysta II	0:3 ✺
19.08.26	Wieczysta II - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.09.26	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Star Starachowice - Busko-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTW

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