Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Wikielec		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.17	3.45	2.77
	2.17	3.62	2.82	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.11	3.71	2.96	Watch
	2.4	3.38	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)	2.77 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wikielec
41.2%

Draw
26.2%

Mławianka Mława
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Wikielec - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bosse A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Jajkowski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 2 - 1, Solecki J. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mławianka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wikielec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wikielec won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Mławianka Mława - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.04.26	Wikielec - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Wasilków - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Wikielec - Znicz Biała Piska	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWW
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Mławianka Mława - Wasilków	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Mławianka Mława - Troszyn	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2
07.06.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2
07.05.25	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	0:0
06.03.24	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:1
05.08.23	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	3:0

Upcoming Matches