Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Wikielec		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2
	3	3.45	2.05
	3.07	3.63	2.03	Watch
	3.04	3.54	2.04	Watch
	4	3.79	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (4)	3.56 ↓ (3.79)	1.95 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wikielec
28.2%

Draw
25.4%

Warta Sieradz
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

23.3%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

22.7%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wikielec's performance.

Warta Sieradz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Sieradz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wikielec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Sieradz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wikielec - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Trubnikov O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 1, Rajski A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wikielec won 1.

Recent performances by Wikielec have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warta Sieradz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Warta Sieradz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Warta Sieradz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wikielec won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wikielec won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warta Sieradz	10	4	3	3	18:16	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Wikielec - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Legia II - Wikielec	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Wikielec - GKS Bełchatów	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWLW
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Wasilków - Warta Sieradz	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wikielec	1:0
21.05.25	Warta Sieradz - Wikielec	1:0
25.10.24	Wikielec - Warta Sieradz	0:0
13.04.24	Wikielec - Warta Sieradz	0:0
16.09.23	Warta Sieradz - Wikielec	0:1
11.05.18	Wikielec - Warta Sieradz	1:0
07.10.17	Warta Sieradz - Wikielec	2:0

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