Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Wikielec

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2	3.5	3.05
	2.02	3.75	3.03	Watch
	1.97	3.71	3.3	Watch
	1.84	3.51	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)	3.57 ↑ (3.51)	3.13 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
45.8%

Draw
25.3%

Wikielec
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Kucharczyk M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Olpinski A. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Jajkowski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 2 - 2, Krupa J. ⚽,
63', 2 - 3, Rajski A. ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 3.

Recent form of Świt has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wikielec has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wikielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wikielec has had a series of home games.

Świt might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Świt won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.04.26	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLL
- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Wikielec - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Wikielec - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.10.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1
05.04.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:0
07.09.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	1:0
02.03.24	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1
13.08.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1
26.11.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1
07.08.21	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:3

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