The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wil 1900 17.5%
Draw 23.7%
St. Gallen 58.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.3%
18.3%
69.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.7%
17.5%
72.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wil 1900 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wil 1900's performance.
St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Gallen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wil 1900 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Gallen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wil 1900 - St. Gallen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Muslija G. (G) 21. Saho U. 5. Selmonaj J. 15. Schmid Y. 19. Schreiber L. 4. Jacovic D. 20. Ndau K. (C) 11. Breedijk L. 17. Staubli T. 10. Hajij M. 9. Diarra M.
25. Watkowiak L. (G) 26. Gaal T. 4. Stanic J. 72. May C. 28. Vandermersch H. 16. Gortler L. (C) 6. Neziri B. 11. Boukhalfa C. 47. Owusu E. 18. Vogt A. 14. Balde A.
Substitutes
33. Abazi L. 26. Ato-Zandanga N. 7. Borges F. 18. Bujard Y. (G) 8. Bunjaku O. 22. Bytyqi E. . Correira S. 13. Kaiba D. 2. Nwannah U.
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 21. Efekele M. 63. Konietzke C. 17. Ouattara T. 8. Quintilla J. 64. Stevanovic M. 20. Vallci A. 19. Vladi S. 7. Witzig C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Owusu E. ↓, Witzig C. ↑,
21', Muslija G. 🟨,
24', Boukhalfa C. 🟨,
28', Ndau K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Breedijk L. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
69', Balde A. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
72', Schreiber L. ↓, Kaiba D. ↑,
72', Staubli T. ↓, Bytyqi E. ↑,
77', Selmonaj J. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', 0 - 1, Vladi S. ⚽,
91', Ndau K. ↓, Ato-Zandanga N. ↑,
91+4', Vogt A. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
98', Hajij M. ↓, Abazi L. ↑,
102', 1 - 1, Selmonaj J. ⚽,
105', Gortler L. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
106', Witzig C. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
106', Stanic J. ↓, Vallci A. ↑,
116+3', Borges F. ↓, Nwannah U. ↑,
120', 🟨,
120+1', 🟨,
120+1', Saho U. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Jacovic D. (Pen),
1, Boukhalfa C. (Pen),
2, Diarra M. (Pen),
2, Vallci A. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, Bytyqi E. (Pen),
4, Neziri B. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wil won 1.
Wil has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
St. Gallen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Wil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, St. Gallen is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wil won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Wil won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).