Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kybunpark (St. Gallen)

Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	St. Gallen		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	2.02	3.5	3.3
	2.09	3.7	3.57
	1.99	3.72	3.55	Watch
	2	3.4	3.4
	2.11	3.5	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.17)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	3.39 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen
46%

Draw
26.3%

Lugano
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.7%	18.9%	5.4%

St. Gallen - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Lugano will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 61.9% – 89.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lugano (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1 - Lugano (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lugano (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St. Gallen will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Gallen (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Lugano (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 26. Gaal T. 4. Stanic J. 36. Okoroji C. 28. Vandermersch H. 16. Gortler L. 10. Daschner L. 11. Boukhalfa C. 7. Witzig C. 14. Balde A. 69. Besio D.	16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 46. Zanotti M. 25. Bislimi U. 8. Grgic A. 21. Cimignani Y. 11. Steffen R. 27. Dos Santos D. 9. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
21. Efekele M. 3. Kleine-Bekel C. 63. Konietzke C. 72. May C. 77. Ouattara T. 70. Scherrer N. 64. Stevanovic M. 25. Watkowiak L. (G) 66. Weibel N.	29. Belhadj M. 10. Bottani M. 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 44. Joao Carbone 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 18. Mahou H. 24. Pihlstrom E. 1. Saipi A. (G)
Coaches
Maassen E.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Witzig C. ⚽, Besio D. (A),
33', Daschner L. 🟨,
37', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
57', Grgic A. 🟨,
64', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
68', Cimignani Y. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
68', Koutsias G. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
77', Balde A. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
77', Gortler L. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
82', Papadopoulos A. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
84', Besio D. 🟨,
90', Besio D. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
90', Grgic A. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Steffen R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 3.

St. Gallen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lugano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Gallen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in St. Gallen: Buttiker P. (Injury) Dumrath B. (Back Injury) Fazliji B. (Knee Injury) Neziri B. (Knee Injury) Owusu E. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E. (Inactive) Bottani M. (Inactive) Cassano C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in St. Gallen: Boukhalfa C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Lugano: 42.18% St. Gallen: 5.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	10	9	1	0	31:7	24	28
7	St. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16:19	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
08.03.26	St. Gallen - Basel	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	Thun - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	St. Gallen - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Servette - St. Gallen	1:1 ✺
18.02.26	Winterthur - St. Gallen	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWTW
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
07.03.26	Lugano - Luzern	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Lugano - Sion	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Grasshoppers - Lugano	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Basel - Lugano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
26.11.25	Lugano - St. Gallen	1:3
13.09.25	St. Gallen - Lugano	1:0
13.04.25	Lugano - St. Gallen	1:1
05.02.25	St. Gallen - Lugano	2:1
01.09.24	Lugano - St. Gallen	1:1
04.05.24	Lugano - St. Gallen	0:1
09.03.24	St. Gallen - Lugano	2:3

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