Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Am Petz (Wiltz)


	Wiltz 71		Hostert

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.33
	1.55	4.5	4.3
	1.54	4.34	4.16
	1.56	4.56	4.36	Watch
	1.54	4.45	4.49
	1.55	4.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.76)	4.45 ↑ (3.97)	4.32 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiltz 71
58.7%

Draw
20.4%

Hostert
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

22.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiltz 71 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wiltz 71's performance.

Hostert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiltz 71 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wiltz 71 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Wiltz 71 - Hostert Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Schon R. (G) 10. Biver B. 3. Da Cunha Costa H. 30. Gustavo 23. Luzein N. 5. Mannone Y. 7. Philipps C. (C) 2. Raddas Y. 17. Rodrigues A. 88. Romeyns B. 59. Saidi N.	16. Chiotti D. (G) 37. Ales B. 80. Avdusinovic K. 22. Bernardy L. 21. Fernandes D. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 10. Meddour H. 9. Quinol K. 93. Tibor J. D. 6. Zilli Q. (C)
Substitutes
81. Czekanowicz Y. (G) 90. Dragolovcanin E. 9. Gorny V. 77. Hassaini N. 27. Morou F. 11. Rodrigues T. 6. Schroeder C.	. Back C. 5. Besch D. 45. Cungs L. 13. Moroz A. 1. Sardou T. (G) 11. Tsapanos T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Raddas Y. 🟨,
39', Rodrigues A. 🟨,
41', Fernandes D. 🟨,
45', Meddour H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Raddas Y. ⚽, Luzein N. (A),
52', Luzein N. ↓, Morou F. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Avdusinovic K. ⚽, Quinol K. (A),
57', Gustavo ↓, Gorny V. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Philipps C. ⚽, Saidi N. (A),
65', Leroux M. 🟨,
70', Tibor J. D. 🟨,
74', Bernardy L. ↓, Moroz A. ↑,
80', Meddour H. ↓, Besch D. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Fernandes D. ⚽, Tibor J. D. (A),
85', Romeyns B. ↓, Rodrigues T. ↑,
85', Biver B. ↓, Hassaini N. ↑,
90+5', Quinol K. ↓, Cungs L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wiltz 71 won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Wiltz 71 is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wiltz 71 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wiltz 71 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiltz 71
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Rodange - Wiltz 71	4:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
14.05.25	Differdange 03 - Wiltz 71	3:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
10.05.25	Wiltz 71 - Differdange 03	0:4 ✺
04.05.25	Victoria Rosport - Wiltz 71	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Wiltz 71 - Bettembourg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTW
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Hostert - Pétange	1:8 ✺
11.05.25	Rodange - Hostert	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Differdange 03 - Hostert	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
12.03.23	Wiltz 71 - Hostert	2:2
11.09.22	Hostert - Wiltz 71	2:3
22.08.21	Hostert - Wiltz 71	1:3
31.03.21	Wiltz 71 - Hostert	1:2
13.09.20	Hostert - Wiltz 71	1:2
Luxembourg Cup
09.05.18	Wiltz 71 - Hostert	1:2
Luxembourg National Division
12.04.15	Wiltz 71 - Hostert	3:3

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