Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Am Petz (Wiltz) 🌤️ ...


	Wiltz 71		Rumelange

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.60	2.95
	1.95	3.60	3.00
	2.01	4.01	3.03
	2.01	3.89	3.01	Watch
	1.99	3.80	3.00
	2.04	4.19	2.93
	2.00	3.80	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.29)	3.84 ↓ (4.05)	3 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiltz 71
45.7%

Draw
23.8%

Rumelange
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

22.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

21.5%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiltz 71 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wiltz 71's performance.

Rumelange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rumelange might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiltz 71 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wiltz 71 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rumelange than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rumelange could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wiltz 71 - Rumelange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Bosquin Q. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Hassaini N. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Rodrigues L. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Silva Dos Santos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 3, Gomes B. ⚽,
64', 3 - 3, Romeyns B. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 14th in the BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

Both teams are enduring a tough losing streak heading into this clash.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wiltz 71 holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Wiltz 71 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wiltz 71 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 2:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Rumelange	11	2	2	7	15:31	-16	8
15	Wiltz	11	1	2	8	18:31	-13	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiltz 71
Luxembourg National Division
18.10.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Wiltz 71	4:1 ✺
11.10.26	Wiltz 71 - UNA Strassen	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Atert Bissen - Wiltz 71	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Jeunesse Esch - Wiltz 71	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rumelange
Luxembourg National Division
18.10.26	Résidence Walferdange - Rumelange	3:3 ✺
11.10.26	Rumelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	UNA Strassen - Rumelange	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rumelange - Atert Bissen	0:6 ✺
06.09.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rumelange	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
21.02.16	Wiltz 71 - Rumelange	0:1
09.08.15	Rumelange - Wiltz 71	N/A
08.03.15	Rumelange - Wiltz 71	4:0
09.03.14	Wiltz 71 - Rumelange	4:4
19.08.13	Rumelange - Wiltz 71	1:0

Wiltz 71 - Rumelange