Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.68
	2.03	3.63	3.23	Watch
	2.25	3.48	2.62
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	2.93 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
43.1%

Draw
25.7%

Chertsey Town
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wimborne Town's form might have worsened.

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chertsey Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wimborne Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chertsey Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Mazzone J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, McQuoid J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Roberts S. ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, Munn C. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, Smith J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wimborne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wimborne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Wimborne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Chertsey Town - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 24.24%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Wimborne Town - Portchester	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Walton & Hersham - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Wimborne Town - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Chertsey Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Taunton Town - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Chertsey Town - Tilbury	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
04.03.25	Chertsey Town - Wimborne Town	1:2
02.11.24	Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town	1:3

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