Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Wimborne Town		Metropolitan Police

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.1	1.5
	4.8	4	1.49
	5.1	4.15	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↓ (5.1)	4.08 ↓ (4.15)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
18.4%

Draw
22.1%

Metropolitan Police
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

22.3%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

18.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Metropolitan Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitan Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wimborne Town - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Wimborne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metropolitan Police is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Metropolitan Police is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wimborne won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimborne won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
20.11.21	Wimborne Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:3 ✺
16.11.21	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
06.11.21	Wimborne Town - Kings Langley	3:3 ✺
26.10.21	Wimborne Town - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWTT
- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
20.11.21	Metropolitan Police - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
16.11.21	Harrow Borough - Metropolitan Police	1:4 ✺
09.11.21	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Tiverton Town - Metropolitan Police	0:1 ✺
16.10.21	Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.03.20	Wimborne Town - Metropolitan Police	Canceled
26.11.19	Metropolitan Police - Wimborne Town	2:2
09.03.19	Metropolitan Police - Wimborne Town	4:2
29.01.19	Wimborne Town - Metropolitan Police	3:0

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