Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 42

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Metropolitan Police		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.4
	1.8	3.87	3.64
	1.79	3.86	3.72
	1.78	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.12)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	3.59 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitan Police
50.8%

Draw
23.9%

Dorchester Town
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitan Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitan Police's performance.

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorchester Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitan Police that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorchester Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metropolitan Police - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 4.

Metropolitan Police is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dorchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metropolitan Police could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Metropolitan Police won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitan Police won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
20.04.23	Metropolitan Police - Bracknell Town	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Truro City - Metropolitan Police	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Yate Town - Metropolitan Police	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Bracknell Town - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
15.04.23	Dorchester Town - Hendon	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	1:6 ✺
07.04.23	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
28.03.23	Harrow Borough - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.11.22	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	1:0
26.03.22	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	0:1
20.11.21	Metropolitan Police - Dorchester Town	2:0
07.12.19	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	0:3
22.12.18	Metropolitan Police - Dorchester Town	2:1
11.08.18	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	0:1

Metropolitan Police - Dorchester Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide