Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Yate Town		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.55
	2.40	3.60	2.75
	2.15	3.4	2.95
	2.17	3.32	2.85
	2.39	3.48	2.74	Watch
	2.14	3.25	2.8
	2.48	3.42	2.69	Watch
	2.34	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	2.75 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yate Town
39.7%

Draw
27%

Chippenham Town
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Yate Town - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Yate could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chippenham has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Yate holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Yate has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yate against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWT
- Chippenham Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	1:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Malvern Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chippenham Town - Berkhamsted	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.08.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.23	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:1
English FA Cup
14.09.13	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	3:2

Upcoming Matches