Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Hartley Wintney		Truro City

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.8	1.57
	4.3	4.3	1.56
	4.46	4.61	1.6
	4.7	4.25	1.55
	4.75	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.92)	4.19 ↑ (3.93)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
20%

Draw
21.8%

Truro City
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

22.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.1%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Hartley Wintney - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Hartley Wintney is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Truro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hartley Wintney have a series of home games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartley Wintney won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
24.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Plymouth Parkway	4:4 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Bath City	0:1 ET ✺
17.09.22	Bath City - Hartley Wintney	2:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.08.22	Hartley Wintney - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Dorchester Town - Hartley Wintney	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTLL
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
27.09.22	Yate Town - Truro City	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Tiverton Town - Truro City	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Truro City - Hendon	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
16.04.22	Hartley Wintney - Truro City	4:1
28.08.21	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	0:0
16.11.19	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	2:1

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