Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Winchester City		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.6
	2.28	3.6	2.6
	2.31	3.75	2.67
	2.39	3.7	2.66	Watch
	2.28	3.44	2.63
	2.28	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.24)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
39.9%

Draw
25.4%

Poole Town
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

24.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Winchester City - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Antonio D. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, Cairney L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Winchester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	5:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Weymouth - Winchester City	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Winchester City - Weymouth	2:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Merthyr Town - Winchester City	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Tiverton Town - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLL
- Poole Town
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Poole Town - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Poole Town - Taunton Town	2:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
07.09.24	Swindon Supermarine - Poole Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.04.24	Poole Town - Winchester City	2:1
16.03.24	Winchester City - Poole Town	4:0
14.02.23	Poole Town - Winchester City	1:0
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Winchester City - Poole Town	2:0
English Southern League South Division
06.08.22	Winchester City - Poole Town	0:3

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