Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Horsham

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.1	3.5
	1.71	4.1	3.65
	1.75	4.72	3.45
	1.73	4.47	3.5
	1.72	3.84	3.88
	1.71	4.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.66)	4.22 ↑ (4)	3.61 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
53.1%

Draw
21.6%

Horsham
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

22.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

22%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Wingate & Finchley - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Daly J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 2.

Wingate & Finchley is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Horsham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Horsham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Horsham have a series of guest games.

In this match Wingate & Finchley is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Whitehawk - Wingate & Finchley	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Wingate & Finchley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWL
- Horsham FC
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Horsham - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.24	Chatham Town - Horsham	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Horsham	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Chichester City - Horsham	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Chesterfield - Horsham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.02.24	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
17.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	2:0
18.02.23	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0
20.09.22	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	2:2
19.03.22	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	3:0
30.11.21	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0
10.10.20	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	1:2

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