Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Winterthur		Vaduz

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.78	2.78
	2.15	3.67	2.86	Watch
	2.04	3.88	3.13	Watch
	1.73	4.1	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.73)	3.86 ↓ (4.1)	3.21 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
46.7%

Draw
24.2%

Vaduz
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

22.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Winterthur's form might have worsened.

Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaduz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winterthur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vaduz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Winterthur - Vaduz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vaduz will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vaduz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1.

Winterthur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vaduz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Winterthur is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Winterthur
Swiss Super League
05.10.25	Winterthur - Lugano	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Servette - Winterthur	4:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
21.09.25	Schaffhausen - Winterthur	0:4 ✺
Swiss Super League
14.09.25	Winterthur - Sion	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Winterthur - Zürich	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
05.10.25	Vaduz - Rapperswil-Jona	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Aarau - Vaduz	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Vaduz - Wil 1900	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.06.22	Vaduz - Winterthur	1:1
Swiss Challenge League
16.04.22	Winterthur - Vaduz	4:2
04.02.22	Vaduz - Winterthur	0:0
19.12.21	Winterthur - Vaduz	2:3
21.09.21	Vaduz - Winterthur	2:0
Club Friendly
26.06.21	Winterthur - Vaduz	2:5
09.01.21	Vaduz - Winterthur	2:3

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