The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Winterthur 19.1%
Draw 21.6%
Lugano 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
22.2%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
21.7%
58.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Winterthur - Lugano Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Lugano (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Lugano (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lugano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kapino S. (G) 24. Sidler S. 33. Citherlet T. 16. Arnold R. (C) 3. Smith R. 45. Jankewitz A. 22. Durrer A. 23. Kasami P. 8. Golliard T. 9. Buess R. 17. Hunziker A.
1. Saipi A. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 4. Kelvin D. 6. Papadopoulos A. 21. Cimignani Y. 25. Bislimi U. 8. Grgic A. 27. Dos Santos D. 18. Mahou H. 91. Behrens K. 11. Steffen R. (C)
Substitutes
11. Dansoko B. 18. Diaby S. 31. Kryeziu M. 35. Maksutaj L. 37. Maluvunu E. 5. Muhl L. 26. Sahitaj L. 10. Schneider R. 75. Spagnoli A. (G)
10. Bottani M. 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 14. Kendouci A. 9. Koutsias G. 17. Mai L. 49. Maslarov I. 31. Parente J. 24. Pihlstrom E. 16. von Ballmoos D. (G)
Coaches
Rahmen P.
Croci-Torti M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Grgic A. 🟨,
34', Steffen R. 🟨,
39', Mahou H. 🟨,
45+1', Bislimi U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Bislimi U. 🟨,
60', Sidler S. 🟨,
60', Mahou H. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Hunziker A. ⚽, Golliard T. (A),
71', Buess R. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
73', Papadopoulos A. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
73', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
74', Smith R. 🟨,
76', Smith R. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
76', Golliard T. ↓, Schneider R. ↑,
78', Diaby S. 🟨,
79', Jankewitz A. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Grgic A. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Kasami P. ↓, Maksutaj L. ↑,
89', Sidler S. ↓, Dansoko B. ↑,
89', Steffen R. ↓, Kendouci A. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
Winterthur has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lugano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Lugano is the team to beat.
There will not play in Winterthur: Burkart N.
(Inactive)
Cueni S.
(Red Card)
Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Momoh F.
(Inactive)
Stillhart B.
(Inactive)
Ulrich D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Inactive)
Belhadj M.
(Red Card)
Cassano C.
(Inactive)
Marques M.
(Injury)
Mina D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Winterthur: Diaby S.
(Injury)
Zuffi L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Lugano: Delcroix H.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 19:44. (average 1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.1:2.1).
Finland
Switzerland
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Kapino S. (G) 
Sidler S. 
Saipi A. (G) 
Zanotti M. 
Papadopoulos A. 
Cimignani Y. 
Dansoko B. 
Diaby S. 
Schneider R. 
Brault-Guillard Z. 
Kendouci A. 
Pihlstrom E. 
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