The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wisła Kraków 32.1%
Draw 26.1%
Arka Gdynia 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
25.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
25.6%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Kraków's form might have worsened.
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
6.2%
68.7%
Wisła Kraków - Arka Gdynia Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Arka will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 46.1% – 91.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Chichkan A. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 6. Uryga A. (C) 97. Biedrzycki W. 4. Mikulec R. 8. Carbo M. 50. Kutwa M. 77. Baena Perez A. 19. Sukiennicki O. 13. Kiss T. 9. Rodado A.
1. Lenarcik P. (G) 32. Stolc P. 29. Marcjanik M. 4. Dobrotka M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 27. Oliveira J. 14. Vitalucci H. 31. Staniszewski J. 19. Rzuchowski M. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 10. Czubak K.
Substitutes
10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 1. Broda K. (G) 20. Dziedzic K. 21. Gogol P. 26. Lasicki I. 80. Olejarka D. 75. Skrobanski K. 22. Starzynski P. 54. Wisniewski K.
20. Borecki M. 38. Gorecki K. 15. Hermoso K. 35. Jakubczyk K. 6. Lipkowski K. 21. Skora K. 7. Sobczak S. 77. Weglarz D. (G) 28. Zielinski W.
Coaches
Moskal K.
Lobodzinski W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rodado A. ⚽, Carbo M. (A),
30', Vitalucci H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, Rodado A. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Oliveira J. ⚽,
62', Biedrzycki W. 🟨,
63', Vitalucci H. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
63', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
64', Baena Perez A. ↓, Starzynski P. ↑,
64', Sukiennicki O. ↓, Gogol P. ↑,
70', Biedrzycki W. 🟨,
73', Kiss T. ↓, Lasicki I. ↑,
73', Kutwa M. ↓, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↑,
73', Stolc P. ↓, Lipkowski K. ↑,
77', Dobrotka M. 🟨,
83', Dobrotka M. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
83', Staniszewski J. ↓, Hermoso K. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Oliveira J. ⚽,
87', Rzuchowski M. 🟨,
89', Starzynski P. 🟨,
90+1', Hermoso K. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Wisła could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Wisła won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Wisła won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-6.
Poland
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Chichkan A. (G) 
Jaroch B. 
Carbo M. 
Kiss T. 
Dobrotka M. 
Oliveira J. 
Vitalucci H. 
Gaprindashvili T. 
Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 
