Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Arka Gdynia		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.25
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.99	5.57
	1.61	3.88	5.39	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.58	3.88	5.31	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)	3.87 ↑ (3.68)	5.32 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
58.8%

Draw
23.9%

Znicz Pruszków
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

27.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lenarcik P. (G) 20. Borecki M. 10. Czubak K. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 94. Gojny D. (C) 38. Gorecki K. 29. Marcjanik M. 2. Navarro M. 27. Oliveira J. 19. Rzuchowski M. 21. Skora K.	12. Misztal P. (C) 13. Imai K. 99. Koprowski O. 9. Majewski R. 11. Moskwik P. 30. Nowak W. 14. Okhronchuk V. 80. Plewka P. 7. Sokol D. 21. Stanclik D. 3. Wiech L.
Substitutes
15. Hermoso K. 35. Jakubczyk K. 6. Lipkowski K. 16. Ratajczyk A. 7. Sobczak S. 32. Stolc P. 14. Vitalucci H. 77. Weglarz D. (G) 28. Zielinski W.	10. Ciepiela B. 27. Flisiuk K. 19. Karol M. 20. Kazimierczak A. 26. Kendzia F. 1. Klebaniuk B. (G) 8. Proczek T. 22. Tabara K. 5. Yukhymovych D.
Coaches
Lobodzinski W.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Nowak W. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Oliveira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wiech L. 🟨,
55', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
56', Czubak K. 🟨,
67', Skora K. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
67', Imai K. ↓, Ciepiela B. ↑,
75', Rzuchowski M. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
75', Czubak K. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
78', Gorecki K. ↓, Hermoso K. ↑,
81', Moskwik P. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
83', Hermoso K. 🟨,
84', Stanclik D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
84', Majewski R. ↓, Karol M. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Arka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Znicz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Znicz have a series of guest games.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
03.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
29.07.24	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
22.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Arka Gdynia - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
10.07.24	Randers FC - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
04.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Wisła Płock - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Arka Gdynia	2:0
23.10.23	Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków	2:0

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