Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Wisła Kraków		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	5.75
	1.39	4.8	6
	1.35	5.15	6.9	Watch
	1.37	5.41	6.96
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.36	4.95	6.89
	1.3	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 (1.36)	5.01 ↑ (4.6)	6.64 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
67.8%

Draw
18.4%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Grodzisk Mazowiecki (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wisła Kraków will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła (votes: 1 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broda K. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 97. Biedrzycki W. 50. Kutwa M. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 8. Carbo M. 41. Duda K. 51. Kuziemka M. 7. Ertlthaler J. 10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 9. Rodado A. (C)	1. Kieszek P. (G) 11. Kargulewicz K. 99. Noiszewski K. 16. Gajgier A. 6. Farbiszewski B. 20. Wypart O. 4. Korczakowski I. 21. Los K. (C) 77. Adkonis J. 71. Szczepaniak M. 19. Adamski R.
Substitutes
56. Baniowski F. 5. Colley J. 29. Grujcic D. 12. Igbekeme J. 57. Kawala S. 26. Lasicki I. 28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 15. Staszak W. 19. Sukiennicki O.	9. Gieroba S. 80. Glacel M. (G) 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. 27. Konstantyn J. 13. Lis J. 17. Niewiadomski J. 52. Olewinski O. 31. Staniszewski J.
Coaches
Jop M.	Stokowiec P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Kuziemka M. ⚽, Krzyzanowski J. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Gajgier A. ⚽, Kargulewicz K. (A),
14', 2 - 1, Ertlthaler J. ⚽, Duda K. (A),
31', 3 - 1, Biedrzycki W. ⚽, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wypart O. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
46', Kargulewicz K. ↓, Olewinski O. ↑,
55', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
62', Duda K. ↓, Igbekeme J. ↑,
62', Kuziemka M. ↓, Sukiennicki O. ↑,
66', Korczakowski I. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Gieroba S. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
77', Carbo M. ↓, Grujcic D. ↑,
77', Krzyzanowski J. ↓, Staszak W. ↑,
84', Adkonis J. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wisła is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Wisła will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
04.08.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Kraków	3:4 ✺
26.07.25	Wisła Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	5:0 ✺
20.07.25	Stal Mielec - Wisła Kraków	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
02.08.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWW

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