Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion MOSiR Puławy (Pulawy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Wisła Puławy		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.1	3.33	3.24
	2.07	3.38	3.23
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.07	3.28	3.24	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.22)	3.3 (3.3)	3.2 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Puławy
44.1%

Draw
27.6%

Olimpia Elbląg
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Puławy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Puławy than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Puławy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Elbląg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szpaderski J. (G) 3. Galazka A. 9. Guzdek B. 6. Kabaj L. 11. Kargulewicz K. (C) 8. Kumoch K. 20. Piatek K. 17. Sledzicki R. 25. Stromecki M. 10. Wiktoruk B. 21. Zylla M.	1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 21. Boguslawski L. 17. Fadecki W. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 19. Kozera D. 9. Kuzimski M. 4. Laszak K. 24. Mruk B. 7. Stepien R. (C) 16. Szalecki D. 3. Tiahlo O.
Substitutes
7. Fyk O. 15. Kozdron O. 5. Koziej S. 22. Luczuk F. 12. Murat K. (G) . Nassor M. 19. Szymanek K. 2. Walis P. 16. Zych J.	12. Czaplinski D. 8. Czernis M. 20. Rychter A. 10. Senkevich Y. 5. Szczudlinski K. 30. Wierzba D. 27. Witan A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Wiktoruk B. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Fadecki W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Kumoch K. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Fadecki W. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, Koziej S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła Puławy won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Wisła Puławy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wisła Puławy will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wisła Puławy won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Puławy won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Puławy
Polish Division 2
14.08.24	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:1 ✺
11.08.24	Hutnik - Wisła Puławy	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Wisła Puławy	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
04.08.24	Wisła Puławy - KKS Kalisz	1:2 ✺
26.07.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Wisła Puławy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
10.08.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.24	Swit Skolwin - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
28.03.24	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg	4:0
15.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	3:2
08.04.23	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
03.09.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	2:1
16.04.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	0:2
02.10.21	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Elbląg	2:3
09.05.18	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	1:1

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