Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 2

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Elbląg		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.6	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.71	3.02	2.59
	2.67	3.15	2.53	Watch
	2.6	3	2.4
	2.64	3.1	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.45)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	2.49 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
34.5%

Draw
29%

GKS Jastrzębie
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-4%)

Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 21. Boguslawski L. 17. Fadecki W. 19. Kozera D. 13. Kuczalek M. (C) 9. Kuzimski M. 4. Laszak K. 24. Mruk B. 7. Stepien R. 16. Szalecki D. 3. Tiahlo O.	1. Drazik G. (G) 25. Baranowski P. 18. Bednarski M. 17. Fietz K. 31. Flak J. 27. Jakuc O. 11. Kiebzak S. 5. Kucharczyk P. 7. Lech P. (C) 66. Mucha K. 20. Paprzycki O.
Substitutes
12. Czaplinski D. 22. Januszewski 6. Jasinski M. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 10. Senkevich Y. 5. Szczudlinski K. 26. Tobojka M. 30. Wierzba D. 28. Yatsenko O.	10. Ali F. 47. Kargul-Grobla K. 6. Maszkowski S. 90. Matysek S. 4. Rogala S. 12. Trojanowski J. (G) 2. Walczak M. 26. Ziewiec J. 19. Zych K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Bednarski M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Fadecki W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 3.

Elbląg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

GKS Jastrzębie is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

GKS Jastrzębie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently GKS Jastrzębie have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
21.07.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Elana Toruń	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTTL
- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
19.07.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Hutnik	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Unia Turza Śląska	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	GKS Jastrzębie - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	GKS Jastrzębie - GKS Katowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2
02.09.23	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1
04.06.23	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	0:1
26.10.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2
07.04.18	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Jastrzębie	0:1
09.09.17	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1

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