Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	JKS Jarosław		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	3.6
	1.72	3.91	3.63
	1.74	4.06	3.66
	1.7	3.85	3.55
	1.81	4.13	3.51	Watch
	1.68	4.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	3.99 ↑ (3.79)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JKS Jarosław
52.2%

Draw
22.6%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

23.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

21.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JKS Jarosław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKS Jarosław than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

JKS Jarosław - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Zbroinski B. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Mrozinski P. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
45+1', 2 - 2, Wypart O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', (Penalty Awarded),
61', 3 - 2, Phkhakadze J. ⚽,
65', 4 - 2, Mrozinski P. ⚽,
66', 5 - 2, Phkhakadze J. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 15th in the Relegation).

JKS Jarosław has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Lubaczów have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to JKS Jarosław for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for JKS Jarosław in today's match, at odds of 1.73.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27:20	7	17
18	Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11:21	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JKS 1909 Jarosław
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.09.26	Wiślanie Skawina - JKS Jarosław	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Korona Kielce 2	6:2 ✺
29.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - JKS Jarosław	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWW
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Czarni Połaniec - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLT

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