Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kingfield Stadium (Woking)


	Woking		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.4
	1.66	4	4.4
	1.7	4.16	4.51
	1.64	4.13	4.7
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.61	4	4.74
	1.66	4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)	3.96 ↓ (5.41)	4.52 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
56.1%

Draw
23.4%

Havant & Waterlooville
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

17.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

17.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Woking than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Woking, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Woking - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Woking will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Havant will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Seager R. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Anderson J. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Leahy T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 3 - 1, Lewis D. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Seager R. ⚽,
86', 3 - 3, Seager R. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Judge A. (Pen),
1, Seager R. (Pen),
2, Andrews J. (Pen),
2, Bradbury H. (Pen),
3, Harries C. (Pen),
3, Maloney L. (Pen),
4, Gorman D. (Pen),
4, Livesey-Austin R. (Pen),
5, Ward M. (Pen),

Preview

Woking is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Havant is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Woking could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Woking have a series of home games.

In this match Woking is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Woking won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League Cup
03.12.24	Woking - Fulham U21	2:3 ✺
English National League
30.11.24	Woking - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Woking - Southend United	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Barnet - Woking	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Woking - Boston United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	5:1 ✺
23.11.24	Winchester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3 ✺
20.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Welling United - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Merthyr Town - Havant & Waterlooville	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Woking	1:3
English National League South
10.03.12	Havant & Waterlooville - Woking	N/A

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