Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	3.5
	1.76	3.85	3.65
	1.79	4.17	3.47
	1.76	4.18	3.88
	1.77	3.82	3.68
	1.76	3.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)	3.95 ↓ (4.05)	3.64 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
51.8%

Draw
23.1%

Havant & Waterlooville
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

22.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

21.9%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Merthyr Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Swann R. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Twamley L. ⚽,
63', 4 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
81', 5 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 7).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Merthyr is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Merthyr to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Plymouth Parkway - Merthyr Town	2:4 ✺
26.10.24	Merthyr Town - Frome Town	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Merthyr Town - Marlow	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Totton - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
28.09.24	Merthyr Town - Wimborne Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Walton & Hersham - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Bristol Manor Farm - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.10.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanwell Town	5:2 ✺
19.10.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Poole Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
16.09.17	Havant & Waterlooville - Merthyr Town	2:1

Upcoming Matches