Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 12

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Havant & Waterlooville		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.45	2.85
	2.06	3.47	3
	2.14	3.75	2.98	Watch
	2.01	3.4	2.9
	2.09	3.52	2.89
	2.07	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.11)	3.52 ↑ (3.49)	2.91 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
43.5%

Draw
25.6%

Basingstoke Town
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

25.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Basingstoke Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Seager R. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Seager R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, Armsworth S. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Seager R. ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, Aston M. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havant won 3.

Havant has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Basingstoke have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Havant holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Havant has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 29:7 (averaging 1.6:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Havant against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 19:4 goals (averaging 1.9:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Basingstoke	14	4	3	7	21:27	-6	15
21	Havant & W	14	2	3	9	19:32	-13	9

Last Results with these Odds

Havant & Waterlooville - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 42.54%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Wimborne Town - Havant & Waterlooville	6:3 ✺
29.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Basingstoke Town - Malvern Town	4:1 ✺
29.09.26	Uxbridge - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	0:0
20.09.25	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3
22.02.25	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:3
30.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	5:1
English National League South
12.03.16	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
23.01.16	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	1:0
English FA Trophy
28.11.15	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	2:1

Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town