Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.84	3.75	3.62
	1.84	3.94	3.68	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.77	3.7	3.75
	1.83	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	3.69 ↓ (4.04)	3.64 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
50.3%

Draw
24.7%

Basingstoke Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Basingstoke Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havant won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Havant may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Havant is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Havant won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:7. (average 1.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Havant won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Basingstoke: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
28.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Bracknell Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
17.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Taunton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWT
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Berkhamsted - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Wimborne Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Hanwell Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3
22.02.25	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:3
30.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	5:1
English National League South
12.03.16	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
23.01.16	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	1:0
English FA Trophy
28.11.15	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	2:1
English National League South
18.04.15	Basingstoke Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0

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