Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	7.9
	1.39	4.77	5.77
	1.22	6.27	11.14
	1.23	5.45	9.5
	1.47	4.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	5.3 ↑ (4.57)	7.93 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
70.8%

Draw
17.5%

Tiverton Town
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

20%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

18.9%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havant & Waterlooville's performance.

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiverton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Havant (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Havant (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Billington G. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Seager R. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Horne A. ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, Seager R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 2, Aston M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Havant have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tiverton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Havant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Havant is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Havant won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Havant won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
14.02.26	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Bracknell Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
17.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLLW
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Uxbridge - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	4:3 ✺
03.01.26	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	4:2
English Southern League South Division
04.03.25	Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
20.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:1

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