Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday


	Woking		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	4.5
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.54	4.05	5.09
	1.58	4.2	5.6
	1.5	4	5
	1.57	4.05	5.15
	1.52	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	4.13 ↑ (3.97)	4.99 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
59.3%

Draw
22.3%

Oxford City
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

23.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

22.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Woking's performance.

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Woking that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Woking - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Woking will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Oxford City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Woking: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre A. (G) 16. Akinola O. 3. Casey J. (C) 4. Cuthbert S. 35. Dyche M. 32. Edwards C. 27. Kelly-Evans D. 7. Korboa R. 11. Lewis D. 31. Luker J. 10. Walker L.	13. Brzozowski M. (G) 4. Ashby J. 26. Birtwistle H. 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 8. Fleet R. (C) 5. Kirby N. 14. Parker J. 16. Potter A. 12. Roberts M. 6. Roddy J.
Substitutes
23. Anderson J. 33. Kendall C. 2. Moss D. 18. Oyeleke E. 30. Smith J.	7. Coyle L. 11. Greenslade H. 3. Phillips G. 15. Smith R. 18. William-Bushell A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Woking won 4.

Recent matches Woking is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Woking is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Woking won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Woking won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
03.02.24	Woking - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Oldham Athletic - Woking	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Chesterfield - Woking	1:0 ✺
06.01.24	Solihull Moors - Woking	3:0 ✺
01.01.24	Woking - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLL
- Oxford City
English National League
03.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Oxford City - York City	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Hartlepool United - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Oxford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
11.11.23	Oxford City - Woking	3:2
English National League South
12.03.19	Oxford City - Woking	1:2
11.08.18	Woking - Oxford City	3:2
English FA Trophy
06.02.16	Woking - Oxford City	1:0
13.01.15	Woking - Oxford City	2:1
10.01.15	Oxford City - Woking	2:2

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