Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)


	Hartlepool United		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.25
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.63	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.61	4.51	4.76
	1.62	4.52	4.76
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.61	4.25	4.57
	1.58	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	4.25 ↑ (3.98)	4.67 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
58.3%

Draw
21.8%

Oxford City
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.5%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

18.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Hartlepool United - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Oxford City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dixon J. (G) 10. Cooke C. 22. Crawford T. 35. Featherstone N. (C) 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 27. Hendrie L. 8. Mancini A. 23. Onariase E. 29. Stephenson L. 6. Wallace K.	26. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. 5. Kirby N. 27. Lumeka L. 14. Parker J. 6. Roddy J. 9. Sanderson O. 15. Smith R. 25. Toure S.
Substitutes
33. Hancox M. 7. Hastie J. 13. Jameson P. (G) 24. Paterson B. 15. Pruti E.	24. Fisher A. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 16. Potter A. 12. Roberts M. 18. William-Bushell A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Hartlepool is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
30.12.23	Oldham Athletic - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Hartlepool United - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.12.23	Wealdstone - Hartlepool United	4:4 ✺
16.12.23	Hartlepool United - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	City of Liverpool - Hartlepool United	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLW
- Oxford City
English National League
01.01.24	Oxford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Dorking Wanderers - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Oxford City - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Boreham Wood - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.09.23	Oxford City - Hartlepool United	5:2

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