Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday


	Oxford City		York City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1
	3	3.3	2
	3.25	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.67	2.09
	3	3.4	2.05
	3.27	3.52	2.05
	3.25	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.07)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
28.5%

Draw
26.7%

York City
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Oxford City - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). York will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford City: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haigh Ch. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 24. Fisher A. 8. Fleet R. (C) 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 5. Kirby N. 14. Parker J. 12. Roberts M. 6. Roddy J. 18. William-Bushell A.	38. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 20. Burgess S. 19. Chadwick B. 3. Crookes A. 4. Duckworth M. 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 15. Howe C. 6. McLaughlin P. 37. Smith W. 30. Woodyard A.
Substitutes
4. Ashby J. 28. Crocker P. 17. Fonkeu P. 10. McEachran Z. 25. Toure S.	17. Barnes F. 5. Cordner T. 7. Davies W. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 21. Kennedy K.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 19).

Oxford City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches York is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

York will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
06.01.24	Hartlepool United - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Oxford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Dorking Wanderers - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Oxford City - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Boreham Wood - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLL
- York City
English National League
07.01.24	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1 ✺
01.01.24	York City - Gateshead	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Gateshead - York City	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	York City - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Rochdale - York City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.11.23	York City - Oxford City	2:0

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