Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Lavanttal-Arena (Wolfsberg)

Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)


	Wolfsberger		Molde

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4.1	1.66	Watch
	4.45	4.2	1.7
	4.35	4.15	1.7
	4.49	4.27	1.69
	4.55	3.98	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.06)	4.12 ↑ (3.38)	1.68 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsberger
21.1%

Draw
22.8%

Molde
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.5%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsberger's form might have worsened.

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molde's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsberger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	7.9%	73%

Wolfsberger - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Wolfsberger will win (votes: 12 - 19%). Molde will win (votes: 46 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 62% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Molde will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wolfsberger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
21.08.22	Wolfsberger - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Molde - Wolfsberger	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.08.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.08.22	Gżira United - Wolfsberger	0:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
06.08.22	Wolfsberger - LASK Linz	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWL
- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.22	Haugesund - Molde	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Molde - Wolfsberger	0:1 ✺
11.08.22	Kisvárda - Molde	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.08.22	Kristiansund - Molde	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Molde - Kisvárda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Molde - Wolfsberger	0:1

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