Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Sadikovski A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
World	Onefootball


	Red Bull Salzburg		Wolfsberger

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.68	4.15	4.25
	1.75	4.34	4.43
	1.7	4.35	4.28	Watch
	1.7	4	4
	1.7	4.05	4.3	Watch
	1.68	4.25	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)	4.19 ↑ (3.65)	4.26 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
55.6%

Draw
22.4%

Wolfsberger
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

23.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg's performance.

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Wolfsberger (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Salzburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 4 - 80%). Wolfsberger (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schlager A. (G) 22. Lainer S. 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. 13. Kratzig F. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 5. Diabate S. 20. Baidoo E. 27. Alajbegovic K. 49. Yeo M. K. 21. Ratkov P.	12. Polster N. (G) 31. Wohlmuth F. 15. Diabate C. 37. Wimmer N. (C) 30. Sulzner M. 34. Agyeman E. 8. Piesinger S. 77. Renner R. 20. Zukic D. 32. Pink M. 10. Avdijaj D.
Substitutes
7. Bischoff C. 19. Konate K. 25. Lukic O. 9. Onisiwo K. 38. Sulzbacher V. 3. Terzic A. 37. Trummer T. 11. Vertessen Y. 52. Zawieschitzky C. (G)	17. Atanga D. 35. Chukwu E. 7. Gattermayer A. 13. Gruber T. 1. Gutlbauer L. (G) 6. Hajdini F. 9. Kojzek E. 2. Matic B. . Tochukwu R.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Atalan I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Alajbegovic K. ⚽,
23', Diabate S. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Zukic D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diabate S. ↓, Sulzbacher V. ↑,
51', Sulzbacher V. 🟨,
58', Baidoo E. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
61', Pink M. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
61', Piesinger S. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
73', Yeo M. K. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
75', Kratzig F. 🟨,
76', Avdijaj D. ↓, Atanga D. ↑,
77', Wohlmuth F. 🟨,
79', Ratkov P. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Wohlmuth F. ↓, Matic B. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Alajbegovic K. ⚽, Lainer S. (A),
89', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
90+6', Sulzbacher V. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Wolfsberger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Salzburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Salzburg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Salzburg: Gourna-Douath L. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Calf Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsberger: Baumgartner D. (Ankle Injury) Nwaiwu C. (Red Card) Skubl D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsberger: Schopf A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:19. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Wolfsberger - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 25.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
06.12.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWTLL
- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
07.12.25	Wolfsberger - Austria Wien	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ried - Wolfsberger	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Wolfsberger	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Wolfsberger - Hartberg	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
13.09.25	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	3:1
27.04.25	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	2:1
23.04.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	1:1
16.03.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	1:0
27.10.24	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	0:0
03.12.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	1:0
26.08.23	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2

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