Match Info
Premier League - Round 20Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Hadiya Hossana |
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.3 |
2.72 |
2.28 |
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3.31 |
2.75 |
2.27 |
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3.46 |
2.71 |
2.33 |
 Watch |
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3.4 |
2.5 |
2.25 |
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3.41 |
2.71 |
2.28 |
Watch |
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2.66 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↓
(3.29) |
2.7 ↓
(2.92) |
2.37 ↑
(2.27) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hadiya Hossana
27.9% | Draw
33.7% | Bahir Dar Kenema
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Hadiya Hossana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.5:1).Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 48 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hadiya Hossana - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 27.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 20.10.25 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hadiya Hossana | 3:1 | | 10.03.25 | Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:1 | | 01.10.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hadiya Hossana | 2:0 | | 18.04.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hadiya Hossana | 0:0 | | 09.02.24 | Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:0 | | 21.05.23 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hadiya Hossana | 1:2 | | 30.11.22 | Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:2 |
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