Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday


	Defence Force		Hadiya Hossana

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.6	3.7
	2.04	2.62	3.57
	2.19	2.5	4.25
	2.12	2.7	3.93
	2.17	2.6	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.88)	2.6 ↓ (3.02)	3.86 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
42.2%

Draw
34.5%

Hadiya Hossana
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

30.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

29.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defence Force's form might have worsened.

Hadiya Hossana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defence Force, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alionzi N. (G) 23. Adane M. (C) 5. Badu S. 18. Bekele S. 6. Hagos G. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 13. Negsh A. 28. NNamdi C. 15. Tamene A.	44. Bekele Y. (G) 17. Arficho H. (C) 16. Biruk M. 14. Haftey S. 12. Hottesa D. 24. Koulibaly K. 6. Mishamo M. 19. Nigussie D. 21. Sheferaw S. 15. Tsegaye A. 4. Woldeyohannes B.
Substitutes
21. Alebachew T. 10. Alemu F. 12. Dawiti Y. 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 34. Hailu N. 29. Kebede Y. 26. Mohammed I. 9. Saliso S. 31. Sitotaw A. (G) 30. Tefera D. (G) 14. Wondimu M.	18. Abayneh E. 29. Adongo R. 47. Aklilu M. 27. Beyene B. 13. Beyene K. 7. Birhanu T. 30. Gebrehiwot M. (G) 9. Solomon Y. 35. Taffese T. 28. Tsegaab Y. 26. Wamisho D. 5. Wubishet K.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).

Defence Force is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hadiya Hossana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defence Force will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Defence Force won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Defence Force - Sidama Coffee	2:1 ✺
25.01.24	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
17.01.24	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTW
- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
18.02.24	Hawassa City - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
15.01.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
07.10.23	Hadiya Hossana - Defence Force	2:3
02.03.23	Hadiya Hossana - Defence Force	1:2
03.10.22	Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana	1:0
07.05.22	Hadiya Hossana - Defence Force	1:2
10.12.21	Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana	0:2

Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide