Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 33

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	5.4
	1.47	4.85	5.28
	1.48	4.71	5.63
	1.5	4	5
	1.42	4.45	5.89
	1.45	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.63)	4.5 ↑ (3.95)	5.43 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
62.7%

Draw
20.4%

Workington
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worksop Town's performance.

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Worksop Town - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Hughes L. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Leesley J. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Redford V. ⚽,
40', 4 - 0, Burrow J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 4 - 1, Rigg S. ⚽,
50', 4 - 2, Pani C. ⚽,
67', Swinglehurst S. 🟥,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Worksop is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Workington is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Workington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Worksop won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.02.25	Hebburn Town - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Worksop Town - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Morpeth Town - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Worksop Town - Guiseley	1:4 ✺
18.01.25	Prescot Cables - Worksop Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLT
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
15.02.25	Workington - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
11.02.25	Bamber Bridge - Workington	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Ilkeston - Workington	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Workington - Stockton Town	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Whitby Town - Workington	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
02.11.24	Workington - Worksop Town	2:1
06.04.24	Worksop Town - Workington	2:1
12.12.23	Workington - Worksop Town	3:3

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