Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 31

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Workington		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	4.4
	1.53	4.33	4.75
	1.59	4.46	4.59
	1.55	4.2	4.69
	1.53	4.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	4.3 ↑ (4.05)	4.64 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
59.1%

Draw
21.2%

Bradford Park Avenue
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

19.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Workington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Workington won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Workington is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Workington won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Workington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.24	Hyde United - Workington	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Workington - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Workington - Warrington Rylands	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Radcliffe - Workington	3:1 ✺
01.01.24	Workington - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLT
- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.24	Warrington Rylands - Bradford Park Avenue	2:3 ✺
27.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Lancaster City	2:3 ✺
20.01.24	Hyde United - Bradford Park Avenue	5:0 ✺
15.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Marine	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - United of Manchester	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.09.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Workington	1:2
English National League North
05.04.14	Workington - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2
12.03.14	Bradford Park Avenue - Workington	1:0
04.03.13	Bradford Park Avenue - Workington	1:0
24.11.12	Workington - Bradford Park Avenue	1:6

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