The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Workington 54%
Draw 22.1%
Whitby Town 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.5%
24.9%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
21.8%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Workington that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+2%)
Workington - Whitby Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Rose S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Grant M. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Hunter L. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Workington won 2.
Workington has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Whitby is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Workington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Workington has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Whitby has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Workington is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Workington has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:21 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Workington against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
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