Match Info

National League North - Round 36

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.75
	1.58	3.9	4.95
	1.69	3.75	4.98
	1.48	4.42	5.88	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.8
	1.66	3.84	4.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)	3.9 ↓ (4.67)	5.03 ↓ (6.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
57.6%

Draw
23.9%

Leamington
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.8%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

15.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Worksop Town's form might have worsened.

Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Worksop Town - Leamington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Sanders S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Wilde J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Worksop have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leamington has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leamington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Worksop is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Worksop won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Worksop: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10:16	-6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
24.02.26	South Shields - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	King`s Lynn Town - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Worksop Town - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLWW
- Leamington
English National League North
24.02.26	Leamington - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Leamington - Chester	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Leamington - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Marine - Leamington	5:0 ✺
10.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Leamington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.11.25	Leamington - Worksop Town	1:2

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