Match Info

National League North - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Worksop Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.40
	2.70	3.25	2.28
	2.55	3.55	2.60
	2.75	3.53	2.36	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.50
	2.60	3.53	2.50
	2.60	3.40	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.79)	3.45 (3.45)	2.43 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
35.4%

Draw
26.7%

Morecambe
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.4%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5%)

Worksop Town - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Harratt K. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Greaves O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 2 - 1, Daly M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 18th and 11th).

In recent outings, Worksop has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Morecambe shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Worksop has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Morecambe	13	6	2	5	19:12	7	20
12	Worksop	14	6	2	6	20:20	0	20

Last Results with these Odds

Worksop Town - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.62%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Morecambe - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Chester - Worksop Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Worksop Town - AFC Telford United	5:2 ✺
English National League North
12.09.26	Worksop Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Worksop Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL
- Morecambe
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Morecambe - Darlington	3:0 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Oxford City - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Morecambe - Brackley Town	3:0 ✺
08.09.26	Southport - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Morecambe - Buxton	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLW

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