Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Worksop Town		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	9.5
	1.2	5.5	11
	1.2	7.14	9.11
	1.2	7.14	9.11
	1.25	5	8
	1.19	6.15	10.5
	1.2	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.79)	6.03 ↑ (3.78)	9.75 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
75.5%

Draw
15.1%

Stafford Rangers
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worksop Town's performance.

Stafford Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stafford Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stafford Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Worksop Town - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Worksop Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Worksop is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stafford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Worksop have a series of guest games.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Worksop won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.23	Worksop Town - Atherton Collieries	4:1 ✺
07.11.23	Worksop Town - Morpeth Town	7:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Stockport County - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.10.23	Worksop Town - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLTL
- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Quorn	5:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Guiseley - Stafford Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.03.14	Stafford Rangers - Worksop Town	0:2
16.10.13	Worksop Town - Stafford Rangers	5:0

Upcoming Matches