Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Stafford Rangers		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.29	3.76	2.7
	2.3	3.76	2.7
	2.38	3.5	2.45
	2.27	3.45	2.69
	2.25	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (3.04)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	2.64 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
39.9%

Draw
25.6%

Morpeth Town
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

23.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

24%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stafford Rangers's performance.

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morpeth Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stafford Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morpeth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stafford won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Morpeth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Stafford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Quorn	5:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Guiseley - Stafford Rangers	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Sporting Khalsa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLW
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.11.23	Worksop Town - Morpeth Town	7:0 ✺
24.10.23	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Morpeth Town - Macclesfield Town	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	2:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Morpeth Town - United of Manchester	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.03.23	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	0:0
15.10.22	Morpeth Town - Stafford Rangers	2:1
08.01.22	Morpeth Town - Stafford Rangers	2:2
14.08.21	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	3:1
22.02.20	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	0:2
28.09.19	Morpeth Town - Stafford Rangers	1:1

Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide