Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	2.11	3.24	3.47
	2.05	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.33)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	3.22 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
44.8%

Draw
27%

Guiseley
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worksop Town's performance.

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guiseley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Worksop Town - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Lufudu J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Leesley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Ible J. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Mbeka L. ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, Whitham L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Worksop is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guiseley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Worksop won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.01.25	Prescot Cables - Worksop Town	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Macclesfield Town - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Worksop Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:1 ✺
28.12.24	Basford United - Worksop Town	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWWT
- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
18.01.25	Guiseley - Basford United	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
01.01.25	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Guiseley - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.09.24	Guiseley - Worksop Town	1:2
23.04.24	Guiseley - Worksop Town	2:4
31.10.23	Worksop Town - Guiseley	1:1
Club Friendly
01.09.20	Worksop Town - Guiseley	0:0

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