Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)


	Wrexham		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7.5
	1.42	4.4	6.5
	1.42	4.5	6.1
	1.38	4.6	6.8
	1.41	4.89	7.33
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.39	4.75	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.6)	4.51 ↑ (3.98)	6.92 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
66%

Draw
20.6%

Dagenham & Redbridge
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wrexham's performance.

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dagenham & Redbridge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wrexham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dagenham & Redbridge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1.

Wrexham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dagenham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dagenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wrexham is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English National League
03.09.22	Dorking Wanderers - Wrexham	0:5 ✺
30.08.22	Wrexham - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Woking - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
20.08.22	Wrexham - Maidstone United	5:0 ✺
16.08.22	Chesterfield - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
03.09.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Notts County	0:5 ✺
29.08.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Bromley	4:1 ✺
27.08.22	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Eastleigh - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.05.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham	3:0
18.09.21	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0
29.05.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham	1:1
06.02.21	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2
01.02.20	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0
26.10.19	Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham	2:1
09.02.19	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0

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