Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)


	Yeovil Town		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.35
	2.55	3.2	2.37
	2.75	3.4	2.45
	2.85	3.41	2.46
	2.82	3.33	2.44	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.7
	2.74	3.3	2.38
	2.7	3.3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.36)	3.32 (3.32)	2.44 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
34.3%

Draw
27.8%

Dagenham & Redbridge
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dagenham & Redbridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wright O. (G) 24. Cooper C. 14. McGavin B. 35. McGuckin C. 17. Morgan D. 10. Nouble F. (C) 18. Plant J. 23. Smith M. 6. Wannell J. 4. Williams M. 11. Young J.	1. Justham E. (C) 15. Crichlow-Noble R. 4. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 30. Kalambayi P. 7. Pereira D. 6. Phipps H. 8. Rees J. 21. Rutherford O. 9. Umerah J. 3. Vincent F.
Substitutes
20. Araoye R. 33. Bernard D. 22. Gould M. (G) 16. Lo-Everton S. 7. Pearson S. 8. Worthington M.	11. N'Guessan C. 16. Remy S. 18. Stephenson D. 13. Strizovic J. (G) 26. Terry A. 25. Vigrass R. 2. Woodhouse L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Smith M. ↓, Bernard D. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, McGuckin C. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
61', Vincent F. ↓, N'Guessan C. ↑,
65', Hill R. 🟨,
67', Rees J. 🟨,
70', Morgan D. ↓, Araoye R. ↑,
78', Hessenthaler J. ↓, Stephenson D. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 4.

Yeovil is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dagenham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Yeovil won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
28.09.24	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Yeovil Town - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
10.09.24	Yeovil Town - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLTL
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
28.09.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Altrincham - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Hartlepool United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gateshead	7:1 ✺
10.09.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.01.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Yeovil Town	0:2
27.08.22	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0
08.03.22	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:3
20.11.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Yeovil Town	0:1
27.02.21	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0
17.10.20	Dagenham & Redbridge - Yeovil Town	0:0
26.08.19	Dagenham & Redbridge - Yeovil Town	3:2

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