Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 4

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.33
	1.77	3.8	4.1
	1.75	3.8	4.25
	1.81	3.91	4.41
	1.67	3.6	4
	1.76	3.94	4.25	Watch
	1.74	3.7	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	4.19 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
53.1%

Draw
24.6%

Swindon Town
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Wrexham - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Foster B. (G) 29. Barnett R. 15. O'Connell E. 4. Tozer B. 25. Boyle W. 19. Mendy J. 30. Jones J. 20. Cannon A. 38. Lee E. 27. Bickerstaff J. 9. Palmer O.	1. Mahoney M. (G) 22. Godwin-Malife U. 12. Brewitt T. 5. Blake-Tracey F. 2. Hutton R. 6. McEachran G. 8. Khan S. 14. Genesini B. 10. Kemp D. 7. Young J. 32. Austin C.
Substitutes
18. Dalby S. 14. Forde A. 17. Hosannah B. J. 21. Howard M. (G) 22. O'Connor T. 16. Waters B. 8. Young L.	25. Brann C. (G) 16. Cain J. 23. Kinsella L. 31. Minturn H. 19. Uwakwe T. 24. Wakeling J. 3. Ward B.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Flynn M.

Preview

Wrexham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Swindon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
15.08.23	Wrexham - Walsall	4:2 ✺
12.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Wrexham - Wigan Athletic	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Wrexham - Milton Keynes Dons	3:5 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Manchester United - Wrexham	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWLW
- Swindon Town
English League Two
15.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Swindon Town - Plymouth Argyle	3:1 ✺
22.07.23	Eastleigh - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWT

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