Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Września		Lipno Stęszew

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	2.85
	2.22	3.45	2.62
	2.5	3.79	2.32
	2.2	3.8	2.67	Watch
	2.35	3.75	2.25
	2.46	3.59	2.52	Watch
	1.93	3.41	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.93)	3.6 ↑ (3.41)	2.62 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Września
40.3%

Draw
25.2%

Lipno Stęszew
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.3%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Września's form might have worsened.

Lipno Stęszew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lipno Stęszew's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Września, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lipno Stęszew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Września - Lipno Stęszew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Niklas O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Wajman J. ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 18th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Września has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lipno Stęszew is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Września holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Września has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Września against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Wrzesnia	11	1	5	5	11:23	-12	8
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Września - Chemik Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Września - KKS Kalisz	3:3
29.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Września	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Września - Kotwica Kórnik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTLW
- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.05.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:3
08.11.25	Lipno Stęszew - Września	1:0

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