Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Września		Chemik Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	2.70
	2.08	3.4	2.85
	2.07	3.84	2.71
	2.14	3.88	2.73	Watch
	2.04	3.8	2.65
	2.02	4.03	2.97	Watch
	1.84	3.41	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.84)	3.69 ↑ (3.41)	2.86 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Września
44%

Draw
24.4%

Chemik Bydgoszcz
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

22.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Chemik Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chemik Bydgoszcz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Września than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemik Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Września - Chemik Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Jarosz J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Bartkowski J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 2 - 1, Niklas O. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Bednarek W. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Września will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	11	2	6	3	17:21	-4	12
17	Wrzesnia	11	1	5	5	11:23	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.09.26	Września - KKS Kalisz	3:3
29.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Września	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Września - Kotwica Kórnik	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Września	5:0 ✺
14.08.26	Września - Luzino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWLL
- Chemik Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Chemik Bydgoszcz	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Luzino - Chemik Bydgoszcz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTL

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