Match Info

AFRICA: AFL - FINAL

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Wydad Casablanca		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.66	3.4	5
	1.7	3.64	4.84
	1.71	3.64	4.74
	1.63	3.38	5.2
	1.62	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	5.07 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wydad Casablanca
55.5%

Draw
26.4%

Mamelodi Sundowns
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

28%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

27.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wydad Casablanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wydad Casablanca than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. El Motie Y. (G) 22. El Amloud A. 4. Aboulfath A. 16. Harkass J. 14. Attiyat Allah Y. 19. Lahtimi M. 5. Jabrane Y. (C) 17. Draoui Z. 23. Boussefiane H. 13. Abdallah H. 21. El Bahri C.	30. Williams R. (G) 13. Boutouil A. 4. Mokoena T. 20. Kekana G. 25. Mudau K. 11. Allende M. 17. Modiba A. 40. Coetzee R. 33. Maseko T. 7. Nku L. 18. Zwane T. (C)
Substitutes
24. Ahannach S. 40. Bah B. (G) 30. Bouhrati S. 20. Chetti I. 10. Elhouni H. 25. Farhane A. 1. Maftah M. (G) 2. Mahrous O. 11. Ounajem M. 15. Regragui H. 27. Sambou B. J. 3. Serrhat A.	3. De Reuck R. 5. Lebusa M. 22. Mabena S. 39. Maboe L. 35. Maema N. 14. Mashego T. 21. Mkhulise S. 34. Mvala M. 6. Onyango B. 1. Onyango D. (G) 10. Sirino G. 8. Zungu B.
Coaches
Ramzi A.	Mokwena R.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wydad Casablanca won 0.

Wydad Casablanca in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mamelodi Sundowns is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wydad Casablanca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wydad Casablanca is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wydad Casablanca to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Wydad Casablanca won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wydad Casablanca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wydad Casablanca
African Football League
01.11.23	Espérance ST - Wydad Casablanca	1:1 penalties ✺
29.10.23	Wydad Casablanca - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
26.10.23	Wydad Casablanca - Enyimba	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Enyimba - Wydad Casablanca	0:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
07.10.23	IR Tanger - Wydad Casablanca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWWW
- Mamelodi Sundowns
African Football League
01.11.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
South African Knockout
18.10.23	TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
20.05.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Wydad Casablanca	2:2
13.05.23	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
01.02.20	Mamelodi Sundowns - Wydad Casablanca	1:0
07.12.19	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
04.05.19	Mamelodi Sundowns - Wydad Casablanca	0:0
26.04.19	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1
16.03.19	Wydad Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0

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