Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 12

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	XV de Jaú		America SP

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6.3
	1.45	3.86	6.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.34)	3.73 ↓ (4.33)	6.52 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
61.7%

Draw
24.4%

America SP
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

21%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

13.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that XV de Jaú's form might have worsened.

America SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with XV de Jaú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for America SP than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', ⚽,
21', ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', ⚽,
67', ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches XV de Jaú is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

America SP has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

XV de Jaú could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match XV de Jaú is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
10.03.24	XV de Jaú - Joseense	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Independente de Limeira - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Taquaritinga - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	XV de Jaú - SKA Brasil	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	VOCEM - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTTT
- America SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
09.03.24	America SP - SKA Brasil	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Penapolense - America SP	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	America SP - VOCEM	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Rio Branco de Americana - America SP	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Barretos - America SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT

XV de Jaú - America SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide